Wednesday, January 30, 2008

Hillary's done, Obama's done, everyone is done

It must be exhausting covering the primary process. Every week it seems like the entire situation changes and there is a new winner or some old front runner who is completely out. How does it happen that in the span of less than a week.

-Obama and Clinton are splitting the black vote
-Obama has 10% of the white vote(in one poll with no other recent actions which would suggest such a drop)
-Obama wins South Carolina(granted by a larger margin than expected)
-Obama can win the white vote(did he have trouble in Iowa/NH?)
-Obama has shown that he can win in the South(it's one state!)
-Obama is the frontrunner
-Florida doesn't count(and by the way the DNC is made up of idiots for doing this)
-Clinton thinks Florida should count(of course, she is winning)
-Clinton wins Florida(as expected)
-Clinton is the frontrunner(because everyone remembers that she leads in almost all the other states)

The republican side isn't much better, but I think they only have one candidate who is viable nationally now that Guliani has completely blown has campaign(and then dropped out). This just seems so ridiculous because the media seems so bi-polar. They need to actually remember what they were talking about last week, or maybe just look at the big picture.

From what I have seen, these seem to be the crucial issues for this primary season.

Democrats:
-Can Obama make inroads with the Latino vote?
-Can Obama get the name recognition across the country before Super Tuesday?
-Will Edwards drop out?
-Who will his votes go to?
-What will become of Bill Clinton?

Republicans:
-Will anyone say something really stupid?
-Will people get sick of McCain's snarky remarks towards Romney(I am starting to now that he is repeating the same crap and its not very funny)?
-When will Huckabee drop out?
-Who will get his votes?

I really cannot see the democratic race coming down to Florida and Michigan, because the uproar would be deafening. The delegates will be sat, but the winner should be decided before then.

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